A Crop Harvest Time Prediction Model for Better Sustainability, Integrating Feature Selection and Artificial Intelligence Methods
學年 111
學期 1
出版（發表）日期 2022-10-28
作品名稱 A Crop Harvest Time Prediction Model for Better Sustainability, Integrating Feature Selection and Artificial Intelligence Methods
作品名稱（其他語言）
著者 Chung, Chih-hung
單位
出版者
著錄名稱、卷期、頁數 Sustainability 14 (21)
摘要 Making an accurate crop harvest time prediction is a challenge for agricultural management. Previous studies of crop harvest time prediction were mainly based on statistical methods, and the features (variables) affecting it were determined by experience, resulting in its inaccuracy. To overcome these drawbacks, the objective of this paper is to develop a novel crop harvest time prediction model integrating feature selection and artificial intelligence (long short-term memory) methods based on real production and climate-related data in order to accurately predict harvest time and reduce resource waste for better sustainability. The model integrates a hybrid search for feature selection to identify features (variables) that can effectively represent input features (variables) first. Then, a long short-term memory model taking the selected features (variables) as input is used for harvest time prediction. A practical case (a large fruit and vegetable cooperative) is used to validate the proposed method. The results show that the proposed method (root mean square error (RMSE) = 0.199, mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) = 4.84%) is better than long short-term memory (RMSE = 0.565; MAPE = 15.92%) and recurrent neural networks (RMSE = 1.327; MAPE = 28.89%). Moreover, the nearer the harvest time, the better the prediction accuracy. The RMSE values for the prediction times of one week to harvesting period, two weeks to harvesting period, three weeks to harvesting period, and four weeks to harvesting period are 0.165, 0.185, 0.205, and 0.222, respectively. Compared with other existing studies, the proposed crop harvest time prediction model, LSTMFS, proves to be an effective method.
關鍵字 a crop harvest time prediction model;feature selection;artificial intelligence;long short-term memory;sustainability
語言 en_US
ISSN 2071-1050
期刊性質 國外
收錄於 SCI SSCI Scopus
產學合作
通訊作者
審稿制度 是
國別 CHE
公開徵稿
出版型式 ,電子版
相關連結

機構典藏連結 ( http://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw:8080/dspace/handle/987654321/124232 )