教師資料查詢 | 類別: 期刊論文 | 教師: 詹竣翔 CHAN, CHUN-HSIANG (瀏覽個人網頁)

標題:Revisiting the effects of high-speed railway transfers in the early COVID-19 cross-province transmission in Mainland China
學年
學期
出版(發表)日期2021/06/13
作品名稱Revisiting the effects of high-speed railway transfers in the early COVID-19 cross-province transmission in Mainland China
作品名稱(其他語言)
著者Chun-Hsiang Chan; Tzai-Hung Wen
單位
出版者
著錄名稱、卷期、頁數International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 18(12), 6394
摘要Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an ongoing pandemic that was reported at the end of 2019 in Wuhan, China, and was rapidly disseminated to all provinces in around one month. The study aims to assess the changes in intercity railway passenger transport on the early spatial transmission of COVID-19 in mainland China. Examining the role of railway transport properties in disease transmission could help quantify the spatial spillover effects of large-scale travel restriction interventions. This study used daily high-speed railway schedule data to compare the differences in city-level network properties (destination arrival and transfer service) before and after the Wuhan city lockdown in the early stages of the spatial transmission of COVID-19 in mainland China. Bayesian multivariate regression was used to examine the association between structural changes in the railway origin-destination network and the incidence of COVID-19 cases. Our results show that the provinces with rising transfer activities after the Wuhan city lockdown had more confirmed COVID-19 cases, but changes in destination arrival did not have significant effects. The regions with increasing transfer activities were located in provinces neighboring Hubei in the widthwise and longitudinal directions. These results indicate that transfer activities enhance interpersonal transmission probability and could be a crucial risk factor for increasing epidemic severity after the Wuhan city lockdown. The destinations of railway passengers might not be affected by the Wuhan city lockdown, but their itinerary routes could be changed due to the replacement of an important transfer hub (Wuhan city) in the Chinese railway transportation network. As a result, transfer services in the high-speed rail network could explain why the provinces surrounded by Hubei had a higher number of confirmed COVID-19 cases than other provinces.
關鍵字transfer service;COVID-19;Wuhan city lockdown;high-speed rail network;intercity population flow;spatial transmission
語言英文
ISSN1660-4601
期刊性質國外
收錄於SCI;SSCI;
產學合作
通訊作者Tzai-Hung Wen
審稿制度
國別瑞士
公開徵稿
出版型式,電子版,紙本
SDGs
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