教師資料查詢 | 類別: 期刊論文 | 教師: 陳怡妃 I-FEI CHEN (瀏覽個人網頁)

標題:Forecasting Weekly Influenza Outpatient Visits Using a Two-Dimensional Hierarchical Decision Tree Scheme
學年
學期
出版(發表)日期2020/07/01
作品名稱Forecasting Weekly Influenza Outpatient Visits Using a Two-Dimensional Hierarchical Decision Tree Scheme
作品名稱(其他語言)
著者Tian-Shyug Lee; I-Fei Chen; Ting-Jen Chang; Chi-Jie Lu
單位
出版者
著錄名稱、卷期、頁數International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 17(13), 4743 (14 pages)
摘要Influenza is a serious public health issue, as it can cause acute suffering and even death, social disruption, and economic loss. Effective forecasting of influenza outpatient visits is beneficial to anticipate and prevent medical resource shortages. This study uses regional data on influenza outpatient visits to propose a two-dimensional hierarchical decision tree scheme for forecasting influenza outpatient visits. The Taiwan weekly influenza outpatient visit data were collected from the national infectious disease statistics system and used for an empirical example. The 788 data points start in the first week of 2005 and end in the second week of 2020. The empirical results revealed that the proposed forecasting scheme outperformed five competing models and was able to forecast one to four weeks of anticipated influenza outpatient visits. The scheme may be an effective and promising alternative for forecasting one to four steps (weeks) ahead of nationwide influenza outpatient visits in Taiwan. Our results also suggest that, for forecasting nationwide influenza outpatient visits in Taiwan, one- and two-time lag information and regional information from the Taipei, North, and South regions are significant.
關鍵字public health;influenza outpatient visits;hierarchical structure;forecasting;decision tree
語言英文
ISSN1660-4601
期刊性質國外
收錄於SCI;SSCI;
產學合作
通訊作者Chi-Jie Lu
審稿制度
國別瑞士
公開徵稿
出版型式,電子版,紙本
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