教師資料查詢 | 類別: 期刊論文 | 教師: 曹銳勤 RUEY-CHYN TSAUR (瀏覽個人網頁)

標題:The adaptive fuzzy time series model with an application to Taiwan's tourism demand
學年
學期
出版(發表)日期2011/08/01
作品名稱The adaptive fuzzy time series model with an application to Taiwan's tourism demand
作品名稱(其他語言)
著者Tsaur, Ruey-chyn; Kuo, Ting-chun
單位淡江大學管理科學學系
出版者Kidlington: Pergamon
著錄名稱、卷期、頁數Expert Systems with Applications 38(8), pp.9164-9171
摘要In this study, an adaptivefuzzytimeseriesmodel for forecasting Taiwan’stourismdemand is proposed to further enhance the predicted accuracy. We first transfer fuzzytimeseries data to the fuzzy logic group, assign weights to each period, and then use the proposed adaptivefuzzytimeseriesmodel for forecasting in which an enrollment forecasting values is applied to obtain the smallest forecasting error. Finally, an illustrated example for forecasting Taiwan’stourismdemand is used to verify the effectiveness of proposed model and confirmed the potential benefits of the proposed approach with a very small forecasting error MAPE and RMSE.
關鍵字Adaptive fuzzy time series model;Forecasting;Fuzzy logic group;Tourism demand
語言英文
ISSN0957-4174
期刊性質國外
收錄於SCI
產學合作
通訊作者Tsaur, Ruey-chyn
審稿制度
國別英國
公開徵稿
出版型式紙本
相關連結
SDGs
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