教師資料查詢 | 類別: 期刊論文 | 教師: 曹銳勤 RUEY-CHYN TSAUR (瀏覽個人網頁)

標題:A new piecewise fuzzy exponential smoothing model based on some change-points
學年
學期
出版(發表)日期2011/06/01
作品名稱A new piecewise fuzzy exponential smoothing model based on some change-points
作品名稱(其他語言)
著者Tsaur, Ruey-chyn
單位淡江大學管理科學學系
出版者Kidlington: Pergamon
著錄名稱、卷期、頁數Expert Systems with Applications 38(6), pp.7616-7621
摘要In our previous studies we proposed the fuzzyexponentialsmoothingmodel for extrapolation under a vague system with limited data. However, some change-points in the collected data always generate to enlarge a forecasting interval which provides the decision maker with little information to make some decisions. Therefore, in this study we defined the change-points and the piece forecasting intervals for deriving the piecewisefuzzyexponentialsmoothing interval, and we can effectively determine the future trends for decision. Finally, an illustrated example has been used to verify the effectiveness and confirm the potential benefits of the proposed model with a smaller and piecewise forecasting interval.
關鍵字Forecasting;Fuzzy exponential smoothing model;Change-point;Piece wise fuzzy exponential smoothing model
語言英文
ISSN0957-4174
期刊性質國外
收錄於SCI
產學合作
通訊作者Tsaur, Ruey-chyn
審稿制度
國別英國
公開徵稿
出版型式紙本
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