A Reinterpretation of Empirical Mode Decomposition using Spectral Analysis Signal Reconstruction Method: Applications for Price Discovery of Futures and Spot Prices on WTI
學年 99
學期 2
出版（發表）日期 2011-03-01
作品名稱 A Reinterpretation of Empirical Mode Decomposition using Spectral Analysis Signal Reconstruction Method: Applications for Price Discovery of Futures and Spot Prices on WTI
作品名稱（其他語言）
著者 張紘炬(Horng Jinh Chang); Pai, Ming-chu; Goo, Y. Jia; Hsu, Shih-chang
單位 淡江大學經營決策學系
出版者
著錄名稱、卷期、頁數 Advanced Institute of Convergence IT,vol.6, number 3,March 2011, P.132-145
摘要 There are many studies on the correlation between spot prices and futures, most of them use stationary data for analysis. As a result, most research on the correlation between spot prices and futures use the rate of return for empirical analysis. In fact, stationary transformation often confuses the original nature of the data. Therefore, this study selects the West Texas Crude oil spot and futures prices as empirical objects, and applies [19] empirical mode decomposition (EMD). The EMD method decomposes the time sequence into several intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and a monotonic function. Spectral analysis reveals IMF cycles, and aggregates IMFs into three component sequences based on the classification of practice and theory: short-term, medium-term, and long-term. This approach produces cumulative intrinsic mode functions (CIMFs). This study discusses cross correlation using the cross-correlation function and VAR. Results show that a short-term change of futures leads to price discovery for a short-term change in spot prices. This result is consistent with previous studies on price discovery using the rate of return. Unlike previous research, this study shows that a medium-term change of futures also leads to price discovery for a medium-term change in spot prices.
關鍵字 Empirical Mode Decomposition;Price Discovery;Cumulative Intrinsic Mode Functions
語言 en
ISSN 1975-9320 (Print) 2233-9299 (Online)
期刊性質 國外
收錄於 EI
產學合作
通訊作者
審稿制度 否
國別 KOR
公開徵稿
出版型式 ,紙本
相關連結

機構典藏連結 ( http://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw:8080/dspace/handle/987654321/64873 )

機構典藏連結
SDGS 優質教育,產業創新與基礎設施