教師資料查詢 | 類別: 期刊論文 | 教師: 曹銳勤 RUEY-CHYN TSAUR (瀏覽個人網頁)

標題:Insight of the Fuzzy Grey Autoregressive Model
學年98
學期1
出版(發表)日期2009/08/01
作品名稱Insight of the Fuzzy Grey Autoregressive Model
作品名稱(其他語言)
著者曹銳勤; Tsaur, Ruey-chyn
單位淡江大學經營決策學系
出版者Springer
著錄名稱、卷期、頁數Soft Computing 13(10), pp.919-931
摘要In our previous research, we proposed a fuzzy grey regression model for solving limited time series data. The present paper follows the previous research and proposes a fuzzy grey autoregressive model for considering that the current value is correlated with previous values. The proposed model combines the advantages of the grey system model, the fuzzy regression model and the autoregressive model. Two illustrated examples are provided in which the amount of internet subscribers in Taiwan and the global demand of LCD TVs are forecasted. The results of these practical applications show that the proposed model can be used to obtain smaller forecasting errors of MAPE and RMSE, and that it makes good forecasts for the next demand period of internet subscribers and LCD TV. Furthermore, this model makes it possible for decision makers to forecast the best and the worst estimates based on fewer observations.
關鍵字Grey model GM(1,1);Fuzzy regression;Autoregressive model;Fuzzy grey regression model
語言英文
ISSN1432-7643
期刊性質國內
收錄於
產學合作
通訊作者
審稿制度
國別中華民國
公開徵稿
出版型式,電子版
相關連結
Google+ 推薦功能,讓全世界都能看到您的推薦!