Analyzing the Impacts of Foreign Exchange and Oil Price on Biofuel Commodity Futures | |
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學年 | 108 |
學期 | 1 |
出版(發表)日期 | 2019-09-01 |
作品名稱 | Analyzing the Impacts of Foreign Exchange and Oil Price on Biofuel Commodity Futures |
作品名稱(其他語言) | |
著者 | Shu-Mei Chiang,; Chun-Da Chen,; Chien-Ming Huang |
單位 | |
出版者 | |
著錄名稱、卷期、頁數 | Journal of International Money and Finance 96, p.37-48 |
摘要 | This paper employs an ARJI-trend model that combines the autoregressive jump intensity (ARJI) and component models to analyze the effects of the U.S. dollar index and oil prices on the dynamic properties of biofuel-related commodity futures. The results show that the ARJI-trend model not only provides a better fit for the data on the volatility dynamics of corn, soybean, and wheat futures, but also performs better in terms of out-of-sample forecasting. The U.S. dollar index and oil prices both generate significant impacts on the returns of the futures. Since the coexistence of permanent component, transitory component, and time-varying jumps are observed in those futures, the ARJI-trend model is beneficial for acquiring a better understanding of the differential attributes among corn, soybean, and wheat futures. |
關鍵字 | Commodity futures;U.S. dollar index;Oil price;ARJI-trend model |
語言 | en_US |
ISSN | |
期刊性質 | 國外 |
收錄於 | SSCI |
產學合作 | |
通訊作者 | |
審稿制度 | 是 |
國別 | USA |
公開徵稿 | |
出版型式 | ,電子版,紙本 |
相關連結 |
機構典藏連結 ( http://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw:8080/dspace/handle/987654321/116962 ) |
SDGS | 尊嚴就業與經濟發展,產業創新與基礎設施 |