Health Information and Subjective Survival Probability: Evidence from Taiwan
學年 95
學期 2
出版（發表）日期 2007-03-01
作品名稱 Health Information and Subjective Survival Probability: Evidence from Taiwan
作品名稱（其他語言）
著者 Liu, Jin-Tan; Tsou, Meng-Wen; Hammitt, James
單位 淡江大學國際貿易學系暨國際企業研究所
出版者 Abingdon: Routledge
著錄名稱、卷期、頁數 Journal of Risk Research 10(2), pp.149-175
摘要 The effect of new health information on individuals' expectations about their longevity is examined using a Bayesian learning model. Using two-period panel-structured survey data from Taiwan, we find that subjective probabilities of living to age 75 and 85 are significantly smaller for respondents with more abnormal medical test outcomes and for those receiving more extensive advice on health behavior from their physicians. The subjective probability of survival declines with health shocks such as developing heart disease. Using pooled cross-sectional data, we find that males and married persons are more optimistic about their longevity expectations than females and single persons, and that income is strongly correlated with the subjective probability of living to age 75. Consistent with previous studies, the longevity of the same-sex parent is strongly associated with an individual’s own expectation of living to age 75.
關鍵字 Bayesian networks;Cardiology;Information analysis;Learning systems;Mathematical models;Probability;Health information;Longevity expectations;Subjective survival probability;Health care
語言 en
ISSN 1366-9877
期刊性質 國外
收錄於 SSCI
產學合作
通訊作者 Liu, Jin-Tan; Tsou, Meng-Wen; Hammitt, James
審稿制度
國別 GBR
公開徵稿
出版型式 紙本
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