Lottery Markets Design, Micro-Structure, and Macro-Behavior: An ACE Approach
學年 96
學期 2
出版（發表）日期 2008-05-01
作品名稱 Lottery Markets Design, Micro-Structure, and Macro-Behavior: An ACE Approach
作品名稱（其他語言）
著者 池秉聰; Chen, Shu-heng
單位 淡江大學產業經濟學系
出版者
著錄名稱、卷期、頁數 Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 67, pp.463-480
摘要 An agent-based computational modeling of the lottery market is established in this paper to study the design issue, in terms of the lottery tax rate, as well as the emerging market behavior. By using genetic algorithms and fuzzy logic, lottery participants are modeled as autonomous agents who may endogenously adapt to exhibit behavioral properties consistent with well-noticed behavior of lottery markets. Three major findings are presented. First, as anticipated, a Laffer curve is found in this model; nonetheless, the Laffer curve has a flat top, which indicates the non-uniqueness of the optimal lottery tax rate. Second, conscious selection behavior is also observed, but it becomes weaker as time goes on. Third, for the halo effect, we observe exactly the opposite. Each of these three findings are then compared with available empirical results, and the mechanism of genetic algorithms is further examined in light of the anti-halo effect.
關鍵字 Lottery;Agent-based computational modeling;Genetic algorithms;Sugeno fuzzy models;Laffer curve
語言 en
ISSN 0167-2681
期刊性質 國外
收錄於
產學合作
通訊作者
審稿制度 否
國別 NLD
公開徵稿
出版型式 ,紙本
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