期刊論文

標題 Simulation-Assignment-Based Travel Time Prediction Model for Traffic Corridors
學年 101
學期 1
出版(發表)日期 2012/09/01
作品名稱 Simulation-Assignment-Based Travel Time Prediction Model for Traffic Corridors
作品名稱(其他語言)
著者 Hu, Ta-Yin; Tong, Chee-Chung; Liao, Tsai-Yun; Ho, Wei-Ming
單位 淡江大學運輸管理學系
出版者 Piscataway: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
著錄名稱、卷期、頁數 IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems 13(3), pp.1277-1286
摘要 Travel time prediction in Advanced Traveler Information Systems is an important issue, because travel time is a major factor in motorists' decisions to avoid congestion and incidents. A simulation-assignment-based travel time prediction model for traffic corridors is constructed in this paper. Based on the concept of simulation-assignment models, two algorithms-the flowand the vehicle-based models-are proposed for travel time prediction. One of the critical issues in simulation-assignment models is how reliable time-dependent origin-destination (O-D) trip tables are generated. A dynamic O-D estimation and prediction procedure is developed to generate time-dependent O-D demand data for simulating vehicle movements using DynaTAIWAN: a simulation-assignment model. The empirical travel time data that were collected from electronic toll stations are used to validate the travel times that were predicted by the proposed models. The mean absolute percentage errors (RMSPEs) and root-mean-square percentage errors are less than 20% and 26% for the vehicle-based model and less than 10% and 12% for the flow-based model, respectively. The results show that the proposed algorithms predict reasonable travel times for traffic corridors.
關鍵字 DynaTAIWAN; simulation-assignment model; travel time prediction
語言 英文
ISSN 1524-9050;1558-0016
期刊性質 國外
收錄於
產學合作
通訊作者
審稿制度
國別 美國
公開徵稿
出版型式 紙本;電子版