期刊論文
| 學年 | 99 |
|---|---|
| 學期 | 2 |
| 出版（發表）日期 | 2011-06-01 |
| 作品名稱 | A new piecewise fuzzy exponential smoothing model based on some change-points |
| 作品名稱（其他語言） | |
| 著者 | Tsaur, Ruey-chyn |
| 單位 | 淡江大學管理科學學系 |
| 出版者 | Kidlington: Pergamon |
| 著錄名稱、卷期、頁數 | Expert Systems with Applications 38(6), pp.7616-7621 |
| 摘要 | In our previous studies we proposed the fuzzyexponentialsmoothingmodel for extrapolation under a vague system with limited data. However, some change-points in the collected data always generate to enlarge a forecasting interval which provides the decision maker with little information to make some decisions. Therefore, in this study we defined the change-points and the piece forecasting intervals for deriving the piecewisefuzzyexponentialsmoothing interval, and we can effectively determine the future trends for decision. Finally, an illustrated example has been used to verify the effectiveness and confirm the potential benefits of the proposed model with a smaller and piecewise forecasting interval. |
| 關鍵字 | Forecasting;Fuzzy exponential smoothing model;Change-point;Piece wise fuzzy exponential smoothing model |
| 語言 | en |
| ISSN | 0957-4174 |
| 期刊性質 | 國外 |
| 收錄於 | SCI |
| 產學合作 | |
| 通訊作者 | Tsaur, Ruey-chyn |
| 審稿制度 | |
| 國別 | GBR |
| 公開徵稿 | |
| 出版型式 | 紙本 |
| 相關連結 |
機構典藏連結 ( http://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw:8080/dspace/handle/987654321/77285 ) |