關鍵字查詢 | 類別:期刊論文 | | 關鍵字:Detecting the Issue of Higher Education Over-Expanded Under Declining Enrollment Times

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序號 學年期 教師動態
1 108/1 教政所 張鈿富 教授 期刊論文 發佈 Detecting the Issue of Higher Education Over-Expanded Under Declining Enrollment Times , [108-1] :Detecting the Issue of Higher Education Over-Expanded Under Declining Enrollment Times期刊論文Detecting the Issue of Higher Education Over-Expanded Under Declining Enrollment TimesShu-Jing Wu, Dian-Fu Chang, Hui HuARIMA;declining birth rate;enrollment;higher education;higher education policy;over-expandedHigher Education PolicyVarious perspectives on higher education have been addressed to support the arguments of expansion issues, while studies on prediction to tackle the phenomenon are very limited. In this study, we focus on series data for tackling the problem of over-expansion in higher education and explore how the decrease in birth rate and potential enrollment might challenge the oversupply system. Based on time-series data from the Ministry of Education and Ministry of the Interior in Taiwan, we conducted a cross-correlation function and ARIMA models to detect trends in student cohorts and enrollment. The results reveal that enrollment in the higher education system will drop sign
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