教師資料查詢 | 類別: 會議論文 | 教師: 陳一新 Chen I-hsin (瀏覽個人網頁)

標題:The Risk of Entrapment and Abandonment in the US-Taiwan Informal Alliance
學年99
學期2
發表日期2011/03/31
作品名稱The Risk of Entrapment and Abandonment in the US-Taiwan Informal Alliance
作品名稱(其他語言)
著者Chen, Edward I-shin
作品所屬單位淡江大學美洲研究所
出版者Tamsui : Tamkang University
會議名稱Conference on major trends in comtemporary word affairs=當前世界的發展趨勢學術研討會
會議地點新北市, 臺灣
摘要The main purpose of this paper is to explore whether Washington has increased the risk of entrapment and Taipei has increased the risk of abandonment since the improvement of cross-Strait relations in 2008 . The major intemational relations theory applied in this article is the theory of security dilemma in alliance politics. In the U.S.-Taiwan informal alliance, Washington was reluctant to be entrapped in the cross-Strait conflict over the issue of Taiwan's independence under the leadership of Chen Shui-bian so that it reached an anti-independence consensus with Beijing. There is no such issue as Taiwan's independence under the leadership of Ma Ying-jeou. When the cross-Strait negotiations move from economic and cultural issues to politically sensitive issues; however, Taipei may hope that Washington could play a role of guarantor or supervisor. The United States may believe that playing such a role will increase the risk of entrapment. Whether Washington is willing to do so remains to be seen in the future, but Taipei 's risk of abandonment is more likely to occur when the cross-Strait relationship further deepens and expands. Certainly, Taipei has more risk of abandonment than does Washington after the United States is taking a conciliating policy toward China. While most believe that Taiwan has more risk of abandonment, still some others think that the rising of China will eventually lead to Beijing's intimidation and Taipei's submission if the cross-Strait relations are out of control. However, there are many resources for Taiwan to resist China's coercion or threat, including a viable democratic system, an intemationaIly competitive economy, strong multinational corporations, a modest military deterrent, and a solid relationship with the United States, much Iess the U.S.-back-to-Asia strategy and the U.S.-led new Asian-Pacific political and economic system which is now taking shape. The main theme of this paper is that Washington has increased the risk of entrapment and Taipei has increased the risk of abandonment since the improvement of cross-S甘ait relations in 2008; therefore, they should work toge也er
to reduce the risk of entrapment and abandonment in the belief that China is aggressive or expansionist m nature.
關鍵字abandonment;entrapment;informal alliance;security dilemma
語言英文
收錄於
會議性質國際
校內研討會地點淡水校園
研討會時間20110331~20110331
通訊作者
國別中華民國
公開徵稿Y
出版型式
出處Conference on major trends in comtemporary word affairs=當前世界的發展趨勢學術研討會, 15p.
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